Service Plays Friday 09/18/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim..

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18

Game 103-104: Boise State at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 100.200; Fresno State 94.488
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 6; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 7 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+7 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 3

Friday, September 18

BOISE ST (2 - 0) at FRESNO ST (1 - 1) - 9/18/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 52-25 ATS (+24.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 53-27 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 63-35 ATS (+24.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF SHORT SHEET

Week 3

Friday, 9/18/2009

BOISE ST at FRESNO ST, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
BOISE ST: 38-19 ATS off win by 21+ points
FRESNO ST: 0-7 ATS off road game


NCAAF WRITE-UP

Friday's game

Boise State won seven of last eight vs Fresno, but split last two visits to this site, winning 34-21 in '07 (-3), losing 27-7 in '05 (+9), when Fresno was ranked 20th in country. Broncos are 19-13 as road fave since 2002, 6-3 the last two years- they won first two games by combined score of 67-8. Bulldogs did everything but win at Wisconsin last week, gaining 468 yards but throwing three picks in OT loss. Fresno is just 3-13 vs the spread at home since 2006, 1-5 as a home underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 3

Trend Report
Friday, September 18

9:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
Boise State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Fresno State
Boise State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Fresno State
Fresno State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
Fresno State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA LONG SHEET


Friday, September 18

DETROIT (19 - 16) at ATLANTA (18 - 17) - 9/18/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (19 - 16) at SEATTLE (20 - 15) - 9/18/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-7 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 8-7 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL


Calgary at Hamilton
The Tiger-Cats look to bounce back from last week's loss to Toronto and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Hamilton is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has Calgary favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18

Game 471-472: Calgary at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.926; Hamilton 111.292
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+4); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET


Week 12

Friday, September 18


CALGARY (6 - 4) at HAMILTON (5 - 5) - 9/18/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP


Week 12 CFL games

Friday, September 18

Calgary (6-4) @ Hamilton (6-4)-- Stampeders are 6-2 in last eight games, 3-0 since bye; three of their last four games were decided by three or less points- they scored 31+ points in four of last five games. Hamilton won six of last nine games (8-1 vs spread), winning last four at home by 12-7-12-19 points. TiCats are 6-1 when they score more than 23 points- three of their last four games went over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trend Report

Friday, September 18

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. HAMILTON
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Norm Hitzges

Boise State (-7.5) at Fresno State

People talk about how ferocious Boise's teams have been on their home blue carpet. But the Broncos covered 6 of 7 away games last year.

Fresno forced Wisconsin to overtime before losing last week and the deep history of overtime losers in a game the next week is not good (53-83-3 ATS when at home).

Boise, however, has not been good in this present spot going 0-10ATS as road favorites after winning a non-conference game the week before.

Much like our write up of Thursdy night's game, I simply refuse to oppose this Boise team which has covered 6 of the last 7 in this series. Fresno simply might not be good enough to keep this one close.

LEAN TO: BOISE MINUS THE POINTS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers access

Fresno st
Rays(RL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Plays

mariners
cleve/oak under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

322 - 221 run 59 %

FRI Cubs + 115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR FRIDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


COLORADO (MARQUIS) -140 (1)

Arizona (Mulvey)


Kansas City (Hochevar)

WHITE SOX (BUEHRLE) -225 (2)


Washington (Martin)

METS (PELFREY) -140 (3)


Run Totals

Washington / Mets OVER 9

Colorado / Arizona OVER 10

Florida / Cincinnati OVER 9

Detroit / Minnesota UNDER 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Royals Thursday.

Today it's the Angels. The surplus is 1,345 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo, whose resiliency is being tested almost daily, bounced back from Wednesday's disasters by clicking with K.C. yesterday to lower the deficit to 1,355 gehringers.

Tonight, he'll try the Porcello one more time -- 10 units on the Tigers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

(10) Boise State (2-0 SU and ATS) at Fresno State (1-1, 1-0 ATS)

Boise State begins its quest for a seventh Western Athletic Conference crown in the last eight years when it heads to central California to battle rival Fresno State.

The Broncos are hoping to run the table in the WAC and earn themselves a BCS bowl bid for the second time in the last four years. After dominating Oregon 19-8 as a 3½-point home favorite in the opener, Boise State crushed Miami (Ohio) 48-0 Saturday, covering as a huge 38½-point home chalk. QB Kellen Moore has been spectacular for the Broncos, throwing for 504 yards, five TDs and just one INT, and he’s found a favorite target in Titus Young, who had 114 yards receiving and two TDs against Miami on Saturday.

Fresno State went to Madison, Wis., on Saturday and built a 21-7 lead on the Badgers before allowing the Big Ten squad to come back and win 34-31 in double-overtime, though the Bulldogs covered easily as an eight-point underdog. QB Ryan Colburn threw three TD passes in the first half against Wisconsin only to throw three INTs in the second half as the Badgers rallied to tie and eventually win in OT. Bulldogs’ RB Ryan Mathews has rushed for 213 yards on 30 carries in two games.

Boise State got 211 yards passing and two TDs from Moore in last season’s 61-10 destruction of Fresno State, as the Broncos easily cashed as a 21½-point home favorite. The Broncos have won three straight and eight of nine against Fresno, cashing in seven of those eight contests. The favorite has gotten the cash in each of the last seven meetings, and the host is 4-1 ATS in the last five.

Since joining the WAC in 2001, Boise State has won 54 of 56 conference contests, with one of the defeats coming in 2005 at then-No. 20 Fresno State (27-7 loss as a 9½-point road underdog).

The Broncos are on a plethora of ATS streaks, including 5-0 overall, 5-1 on the road, 4-1 in September, 4-1-1 in WAC play, 10-3 in Friday night contests and 43-20-1 when they follow a previous ATS win.

Despite cashing at Wisconsin on Saturday, the Bulldogs have struggled at the window lately, posting ATS slumps of 11-30 overall, 5-16 at home, 3-9 in September, 6-20 in WAC games, 1-5-1 in conference openers 1-7 on Fridays and 3-23 following a straight-up loss.

Boise State is on several “under” streaks, including 10-3 in September, 8-3 as a road favorite, 7-2 after an ATS win and 7-2 when it’s favored by 3½ to 10 points. Fresno State has topped the total in eight of its last 12 lined games overall, 17 of 25 in September and five of its last seven after a SU loss. Finally, the “under” has been the play in four of the last six between these rivals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOISE STATE


NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (79-67) at L.A. Dodgers (88-59)

Trailing the Rockies by 3½ games and the Dodgers by 8½, the Giants will try to get back into the playoff race as they kickoff a three-game set in southern California with lefty Jonathan Sanchez (6-12, 4.16 ERA) going up against Los Angeles’ Vicente Padilla (3-0, 2.01).

San Francisco went 4-5 on its recent nine-game homestand, but did manage to take two of three from the Rockies to remain in the hunt for the N.L. wild card. However, the Giants, who were idle on Thursday, have lost their last six games after taking a day off and they are just 2-5 in their last seven as a road ‘dog.

The Dodgers have won seven of nine overall, including a three-game home sweep of the Pirates capped by Wednesday’s 3-1 victory. Los Angeles is on several positive streaks, including 25-12 at home against southpaws, 6-1 as a favorite, 69-31 as a home chalk and 40-19 against N.L. West rivals. The Dodgers have also won four of their last six against San Francisco, including two of three in northern California last weekend.

Sanchez is just 2-9 on the highway but has been the victim of some tough luck in his last two roadies, allowing a combined two runs on six hits in 12 innings but losing in Philadelphia (1-0) and Milwaukee (2-1). The Giants have lost six straight starts by Sanchez against the Dodgers, including all four this season. In his lone start in Los Angeles, he allowed five runs on six hits in five innings of an 8-0 loss.

San Francisco has not had much luck with Sanchez on the hill, currently on slides of 10-27 overall, 4-17 on the road, 5-14 against the N.L. West, 7-22 as a ‘dog and 0-6 when he gets five days off.

Padilla is making his fifth start in a Dodgers uniform and he’s been magnificent in the first four, allowing a combined six runs (five earned) in 22 1/3 innings. He faced these Giants on Saturday and allowed just one unearned run on three hits in six innings of a 9-1 beat-down. Padilla has held the Giants to two earned runs or less in six of his seven career starts against them.

With Sanchez pitching, the Giants are on “under” streaks of 5-1-1 overall, 3-0-1 on the road, 7-3-2 as a road ‘dog and 7-2-2 against the N.L. West, but as a team San Francisco is on “over” runs of 5-1 overall, 4-1 after a loss and 5-2-1 in series openers. Los Angeles is on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 17-6-3 overall, 10-2-2 at home, 12-5-2 against the N.L. West, 6-1-3 in series openers and 9-2-2 as a home favorite. Finally, the “over” is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these rivals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (87-59) at Texas (80-65)

The Rangers trail the A.L. West leading Angels by 6½ games and will try to cut into that lead in the opener of this crucial three-game series at Rangers Ballpark when they send Tommy Hunter (8-3, 3.33 ERA) to the mound opposite Los Angeles lefty Scott Kazmir (8-8, 5.32).

The Angels pulled out a 4-3 victory in Boston on Thursday to avoid a three-game sweep at Fenway Park, but they’re still just 2-4 in their last six games and on further slides of 1-4 on the road and 1-5 on the road against winning teams. On the bright side, Los Angeles has won five of seven against A.L. West rivals.

Texas has lost four in a row and five of six on its current nine-game homestand, scoring only one run in its last four contests. Oakland swept the Rangers this week, outscoring them 19-1. Despite their recent struggles, the Rangers are on positive streaks of 14-5 on Fridays, 17-7 at home against teams with winning records and 23-8 at home against southpaws.

The Rangers have dominated Los Angeles this season, winning nine of 12, including five of six in the Lone Star State.

Kazmir, acquired from the Rays in late August, is making his fourth start for the Halos, and he’s looked very sharp in the first three, allowing four runs in 19 1/3 innings (1.86 ERA). He’s coming off Sunday’s 3-2 home victory over the White Sox as he gave up two runs in six innings.

Kazmir has had great success in nine career starts against the Rangers, allowing three earned runs or fewer in each game, with the Rays going 8-1 (1-1 this season). He’s 5-1 with a 2.28 ERA in those nine starts, including 2-1 with a 2.52 ERA in four outings at Rangers Ballpark

Hunter is 6-2 with a 3.34 ERA at home this season and he’s coming off Sunday’s complete-game 7-2 home victory over the Mariners yielding the two runs on six hits. The Rangers have won six of Hunter’s last eight starts and three straight when he’s in front of the home crowd. Texas is also 7-1 when he goes off as a favorite and 6-2 when he opens a series.

It’s been nothing but “unders” for the Angels lately, including 17-4-1 overall, 8-1 on the road, 5-1 as an underdog, 4-0-1 against A.L. West teams and 6-1-1 against teams with winning records. The under is also 11-5-1 when Hunter starts for the Rangers and 6-1-1 when he takes the hill as a ‘dog. As a team, Texas has stayed below the total in 36 of 54 at home, 77 of 117 overall, 40 of 60 as a favorite and 36 of 53 against left-handed starters. However, the over is 5-3 in the last eight matchups in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[bball]

anyone got big als goy tonight

thanks

 

[brewerfan003]

Marc Lawrence

19-2 ATS CFB Super Pick Super System Play! - Friday

Fresno State